Friday, April 10, 2009

Model done

Model complete, handedness/defense/park factors finished. PHI and KCA would not have been a bet :(. Real Kelly units, bet sizing, eROI tracking starts now:

4/11
SDN -142 / 1.4u

Added note: there usually won't be more than a couple plays per day. MLB is much more efficient than CBB and I think too many people employ a shotgun approach. It's hard to compare, since hardly anyone else tracks eROI, which is a much more important indicator in well understood major sports with high limits.

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