I can't figure out the Yankees this year. The Hughes play only finished 4c better than mid-market. Tomorrows BAL and TBA lines are crushing, but my NYA line sucks. My BOS bet with Masterson v Pettitte moved heavily towards NYA when I had huge value on Boston. I suppose the answers are probably Hughes and Masterson are projected optimistically, and this absolutely atrociously projected Detroit rookie tomorrow is supposed to be decent. It really seems like most plays lately are coming because of a young pitcher, where PECOTA has to fill in for lack of history. Either way, it's a fairly safe bet I'll be on Masterson and Hughes' next open - but I really can't guage the market well enough to overbet for arbs.