Thursday, December 31, 2009

Dayton u142

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

South Alabama u145
Yale o125
Siena o129
S Dakota u143

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

ODU o118
Harvard o146.5

ODU -12
Baylor -3.5
Cal o143.5
UTEP u132
Belmont +32.5

Monday, December 28, 2009

owned by 3pt shooting on pretty much everything

hate this side of variance

Florida Atlantic o142
Cuse o160.5
Rhode Island -3
Illinois St. -1
Yale +18
Cuse -3
Xavier -10

Sunday, December 27, 2009

Marshall -1.5
Irvine +9

Richmond o134
Col St. o128
Davidson u147.5
Nevada u154
Wake o140
Gonzaga u145.5

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

UNLV u149.5... only got it once :(

Clones more quickly plz.

If you can't tell, generally going to abandon the 5 minute rat race on open with totals to get bigger volume at smaller egdes upon cloning.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Illinois o147
Fresno St. +7
So Miss -11.5

Monday, December 21, 2009

Beat 4 sides at least marginally... and lose all

Get anhilated by the other close, and win it

Eff betting

Florida o131
Idaho u144.5
Niagara o145.5
Clemson o141.5
Clemson -15
Murray St. o133

Sunday, December 20, 2009

LBS -1.5
Pacific -4
Drexel +19
So Miss -16
Citadel +14
tulane u134, someone thinks Im wrong, w/e

fml working on a sunday, probably lost more $ in equity from firewallz than my hourly base here

down 0-2 in CBB today, 0-4 steam chasing other sports

grr today

Saturday, December 19, 2009

cornell -6 (was greek)
RI -10.5
Webb +24.5

Friday, December 18, 2009

UAB -4.5
SC -1.5
E Mich +5.5
Miss St. -3
scratch WGB side, injury confusion
EKY +10
Austin Peay +24
WGB o138
LVille u143.5
Utah u141
Memphis u143
Temple o130
Texas Tech o135.5
Wofford o144
Oklahoma o143

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Pretty sure I've never beat a total by 12 pts.

Least it won. Holla.
CSUN -2.5
Montana St. -1.5 ( -2 for no pinny here :( )
no totals

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Weber St. +14.5
Nevada u161

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Nor Col -10.5
UAB +2
Miss -6.5
South Alabama -3.5
Wake o143.5
South Carolina o134
Duquesne o129.5
Northwestern u127.5
NMS +9
Looks like Kenpom is forecasting lines again.

Imma start putting out lol March Madness brackets for funzies using his ratings. Probably does more harm than good but seems like people enjoy it.

Also for the sake of karma I should acknowledge I am running white-hot in 2H's this year after the inital whining of 2H run bad continuation from the tail end of last year. Record would be much worse if every bet was 1H.
So Miss -8.5

Monday, December 14, 2009

So Miss u141.5
St. Mary's u160.5
kenpom calculator updated through weekend's games

Sunday, December 13, 2009

G Tech o144
W Mich 1H

7-34 FG (20.6%)
1-14 3pt (LOL %)

gg equities

Saturday, December 12, 2009

W Mich +17.5
BC o150
Xavier -3.5
UTEP o149
Clemson -21.5
Portland St. -1
No openers because someone has their entire BM bankroll hanging on one game

cough cough

Friday, December 11, 2009

bets were:

GMU -1.5
Air Force +17
Miss St. -5.5
Florida Atlantic +10
Northern Colorado +1

South Alabama o138
Valpo u150
Ball St. u137
Nor Col o146
late to open, probably not touching anything until clones (late tonight), which is I guess is good for following

although maybe a few totals in about an hour

Thursday, December 10, 2009

no totals tomorrow
Wafflemegacrushed a few of those totals yesterday. <3 early CBB season. It's probably fine to take a game 2-3 pts off whatever I post for now, as long as lines are going to move 6-8 pts fairly frequently. For BM releases (not late adds with several books offering) we'll move those lines anyway, so it'll take a disagreeing syndicate to get back to that line. And they probably know more than I do anyway. So I dunno.

Took Colorado -2 before crashing, -2.5 still a 53%-54% play imo. It's not massive value. Was considering Montana at pk, maybe if it hits +2. Hard to tell since Loyola is so different this year.

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Rhode u140

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Harv o137.5
prov o141.5
wisky u137.5
mich u136
uconn u148
San Diego u137

all moved an asston, harv was slimest value, uconn and wisky are 5-6 off IMO

KenPom Calculator

KenPom calculator now over to the right.

Got a couple emails asking me if I knew when Kenpom was going to start showing forecasted spreads/totals for 2010.

1) I don't know.
2) Plz to not be betting them blindly if you <3 bankroll.
3) I created a little Google doc that gives you those lines.

I'm not 100% it's what he would calculate, but I think it's pretty close. The biggest thing I am unsure of is his home advantage, which he once said meant increasing home efficiencies by 1.4% and decreasing road efficiencies by 1.4%.

To use it, you have to spell the name as it appears on KenPom's sheet precisely. not "Mississippi State", but "Mississippi St.". Otherwise the vlookups return errors. You should only need to input the team names to get lines, nothing else. I'll just update it daily with his efficiency sheet and season averages.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Illinois o144.5
San Fran o135

I R <3 Overs

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Texas o140
Hall o148

no sides

Saturday, December 5, 2009

nice 9-4 today, with some hudge totals moves <3
clemson -6.5
clemson o151
UCLA u140
se mo st. o126

Friday, December 4, 2009

air force u124.5
cal poly u142
ucsb u133.5
cal u152

the citadel -5
Gmu u146.5
Jmu o119
Hofstra u152
Oregon o146.5
Temple o120
Miss st o133
Vcu u144

Thursday, December 3, 2009

TN Martin o138 half
Pounded:

TAMU o131
Mahattan +13.5

Have some others, want better linez.
Ships the movement today.

Looks like BM is doing the regular release schedule finally, so I should generally be around for openers if my jubz doesn't get in the way. Can't promise lines will be fresh as horrible totals are rocketing down after a couple minutes now and a whole lot of hitting needs to get done first.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

so late to open :(

UW Milwaukee o133.5 half
Loyola Chicago u142.5 half

EKY +9
CoC -10
TN Martin +5.5 (arbz possible)

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

BYU o136

East Carolina +12
Duke -3 (sigh)
Irvine -2
Jax St. o141
Col St. o132.5