Kenpom - Lunardi Bracket

New Kenpom / Lunardi March Madness odds.

ND -4
Nor Col -6

Kenpom bracket odds for MVC, CAA, & WCC.

Pom overstates GM and Zaga, but openers had some value. Missouri St. might be a little understated for some remote HFA from playing in St. Louis.

Have some WSU +200, GM +175, Zaga +170. Lines insta corrected but who knows what'll open.

WGB -1.5
ODU pk
EW -2.5

ND -3.5
Mizzou -8

Kenpom Lunardi Bracketology Odds Updated

Kenpom/Lunardi bracket odds updated for Monday release. Added some convenient prop calculators using either math or the results of 50K simulations where events are dependent.

UCLA o141

Kenpom Predictor w/ Lunardi Bracket - March Madness

Lunardi's Monday bracket populated with Kenpom which I then converted to win %'s based on observed distributions of spreads vs. win % in his data (smoothed of course). I've got a market bracket built which I'm actually using for futures, will release that when I'm tapped out. But for the Kenpom lovers among you:

Teams in the lower half are probably over-valued, Kenpom hearts a bunch of the teams in the upper half. And of course there is the standard BYU/Duke fanboi-ism. I wouldn't use this as gospel of value unless you saw a line that was rididculously off - like 100-1 vs. Kenpom's 25-1.

App St. -2

Utah -6.5
CSU Northridge +6.5

Virginia Tech -3
Wichita St. -5

KU -3.5 (-4 for QQing slowpokes)

Nothing today. Kenpom march madness bracket coming soon, market bracket soon after. Tis time to blow mobnies on futures.

VCU -2
Hofstra -1
W&M +11.5
W Mich -2
NMS -1
BYU o151
Col -1
SMU +12.5

Colorado -2.5
Iowa u126
UNLV -8
UAB +3.5
VCU -5
Northwestern o132

unc o136.5

JMU -1
Miss St. -1
BG -3
Col St. -4.5

Columbia -1
Loyola MD +8

wisky -4