Past post, first losses of season.

Texas u155
LA Monroe +19
Cornell +8.5
Cornell u129.5
UCF o131.5

Alabama u134

Back for CBB. Again, working with others again, so I can't post until next morning typically after line has been hit.

KSU o134.5

Round of 32 market bracket, give or take a little ML movement

New bracket ~30 mins before tip tomorrow.

Market bracket as of yesterday. 1st round %'s may be slightly stale if any big movement today.

market bracket tomorrow, some more props showed up

These so stale but for funzies this a sampling of actual side bets over the last hellish 48 hrs. I need to hibernate.

Others:
BC -5.5
SJSU +10.5
Vermont +11
Nebraska +4.5
Miami FL -11
Cal -3.5
SMU -3
ETSU -4

Tourny:
UNC Asheville -3
USC -4
Louisville -7.5
BYU -7.5
Syracuse -10.5
Notre Dame -12.5

Bracketz coming later tonight, have to squeeze every last dime out of market ldo. Currently hunting last longers and conference win props. There were some openers too but they long dead.

Meanwhile, free mobnies on Bodog:

Round in which first 1 seed will lose: round of 32 +150

Fair on this is like -120. Bodog always messes those up.

Kent St. -3

Idaho -6

Iowa +11
Mississippi -6

Vandy o145.5

Kenpom - Lunardi Bracket

New Kenpom / Lunardi March Madness odds.

ND -4
Nor Col -6

Kenpom bracket odds for MVC, CAA, & WCC.

Pom overstates GM and Zaga, but openers had some value. Missouri St. might be a little understated for some remote HFA from playing in St. Louis.

Have some WSU +200, GM +175, Zaga +170. Lines insta corrected but who knows what'll open.

WGB -1.5
ODU pk
EW -2.5

ND -3.5
Mizzou -8

Kenpom Lunardi Bracketology Odds Updated

Kenpom/Lunardi bracket odds updated for Monday release. Added some convenient prop calculators using either math or the results of 50K simulations where events are dependent.

UCLA o141

Kenpom Predictor w/ Lunardi Bracket - March Madness

Lunardi's Monday bracket populated with Kenpom which I then converted to win %'s based on observed distributions of spreads vs. win % in his data (smoothed of course). I've got a market bracket built which I'm actually using for futures, will release that when I'm tapped out. But for the Kenpom lovers among you:

Teams in the lower half are probably over-valued, Kenpom hearts a bunch of the teams in the upper half. And of course there is the standard BYU/Duke fanboi-ism. I wouldn't use this as gospel of value unless you saw a line that was rididculously off - like 100-1 vs. Kenpom's 25-1.

App St. -2

Utah -6.5
CSU Northridge +6.5

Virginia Tech -3
Wichita St. -5

KU -3.5 (-4 for QQing slowpokes)

Nothing today. Kenpom march madness bracket coming soon, market bracket soon after. Tis time to blow mobnies on futures.

VCU -2
Hofstra -1
W&M +11.5
W Mich -2
NMS -1
BYU o151
Col -1
SMU +12.5

Colorado -2.5
Iowa u126
UNLV -8
UAB +3.5
VCU -5
Northwestern o132

unc o136.5

JMU -1
Miss St. -1
BG -3
Col St. -4.5

Columbia -1
Loyola MD +8

wisky -4

UConn -3
Hofstra -1.5
USC +8

Wisconsin Milwaukee -2.5

CSU-N +8
Elon pk

Rutgers +12
Citadel +10

Wofford -5
K St. o135

Ohio St. -1.5
Bowling Green +8
South Alabama -2.5
BYU -6
Loyola MD -5

Port -2

X -4
South Carolina -3

Citadel +6.5
UAB -1.5
Nova o142.5

Northeastern +13.5
Georgia St. +14.5
Towson +1.5
Tulane +4.5
SDSU -1
Citadel +19
Murray St. -5
Oregon +4.5
Stanford -1

overnight:
Iona +2

morning:
Siena -8

overnights:
ODU +2
WGB -1
Cal St. N -3.5
Cal St. F +6
Santa Clara -6
Citadel -1
Morehead St. -10.5

morning:
Middle Tenn -2

UTEP -2.5
Iowa -1
Duke -7.5
Cuse -2.5
St. Louis +10
UAB -5.5

Overnights as always:

BG +9
Penn St. +5.5

Cuse -6.5
Penn St. +6.5
ODU -4
Utah St -7
Kentucky -5.5
Stanford +12
WGB -3
Prov PK
NMS -6
Oregon +14.5
wofford +1

From overnights:

Ark St. -2.5
Wright St. -3.5
Idaho St. +15.5

Go States

forgot to post yesterday, zags heart-pounder that I thankfully wasn't around to sweat.

From overnights:
Michigan St. -1.5