Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Christ, already running bad. Simon (Bal SP, one of the worst in the league) gets injured in the 2nd inning, so Texas gets shutdown by a much better bullpen. Now Harden is pitching like Zito and Marquis is... good now? Also, if I make mention of planning to arb a large unit size (~3+), generally I'm overbetting 2x and arbing half, so about half the posted play is the Kelly stake.

Betting on posted lineups now. This part is pure capping I guess, but I've never thought lines adjusted to lineup changes enough (Giambi/Nomar both out for A's).

ARI -106 / .6u (MB)
BOS -104 / 2.4u (MB - sbr lag)

No comments:

Post a Comment