4/21
Some small over-betting on some of the larger units to leave buffer room to arb for lineup surprises, but these aren't 2x Kelly arbing attempts.
LAN -130 / 2.8u
ARI -115 / .8u
TBA +100 / 1.9u, -105 / .8u
TEX +200 / .2u
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Results
CBB 10-11 (flat bets)
Missed 1H. Totals market died.
Spreads 62-49-4, 55.9%
Totals 4-6-0, 40.0%
CBB 09-10 (flat bets)
Spreads 120-88-5, 57.7%
Totals 143-105-4, 57.7%
CBB 08-09 (flat bets)
Spreads 192-154-7, 55.5%
Totals 212-153-6, 58.1%
WNBA 09 (flat bets)
21-7-0, ROI: 43.2%
MLB 10 (MLs)
11-10, ROI: 5.7%
MLB 09 (MLs)
55-59, ROI: 5.8%
Missed 1H. Totals market died.
Spreads 62-49-4, 55.9%
Totals 4-6-0, 40.0%
CBB 09-10 (flat bets)
Spreads 120-88-5, 57.7%
Totals 143-105-4, 57.7%
CBB 08-09 (flat bets)
Spreads 192-154-7, 55.5%
Totals 212-153-6, 58.1%
WNBA 09 (flat bets)
21-7-0, ROI: 43.2%
MLB 10 (MLs)
11-10, ROI: 5.7%
MLB 09 (MLs)
55-59, ROI: 5.8%
About Me
- Keith
- Chicago, IL, United States
- I am a finance suit applying his nerd tendencies to statistical sports handicapping.
Blog Archive
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2009
(573)
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April
(50)
- 5/1OAK -102 2.6u
- cant bet open today, will be back later
- Christ I run like ass when I murder close. Practic...
- adds:NYN -175 / 1.6u (no Uggla, Ramirez for FLO)BO...
- I can't figure out the Yankees this year. The Hugh...
- 4/29 (all BJ)BAL -115 / 2.1u (also took -120 on BM...
- 4/28NYA +104 / .8u (BM)
- Meh, arbing at -147 and taking a loss on CHN. The ...
- 4/27CHN +130 / .7u (more if Ramirez or Lee aren't ...
- I'll try to put up some general mlb luck stuff tom...
- COL +121 / .6uManny, Furcal, Blake sitting tomorrow.
- Fun with Brewers
- CLE -117 / .4uSDN -120 / 1.1u <- oops, already pos...
- OAK +107 / .6uBOS -135 / .8u
- 4/26BOS -132 / 2.5uSDN -165 / 1.6uCLE -116 / 1.5uL...
- How do you avoid Brewers bullpen blowups?
- 4/25ARI -115 / 1uMIL +122 / .7u (god help me)SDN -...
- TBA +100 .8u
- 4/24MIL -115 / 1.1u (BM), prob won't move much
- Well, somehow Zito, Looper, and Pineiro combined f...
- TOR -137 / 2.7uJones in for Hamilton for TEX, line...
- nothing big to arb later for openers4/23TOR +106 /...
- 4/22 addsNot counted as openers - don't expect to ...
- Sweet, 27% below expectation in ROI
- 4/22SDN -110 .5uNothing big, maybe a few more late...
- Forgot to add:SDN -105 / 1.8u
- 4/21Some small over-betting on some of the larger ...
- Groan @ bullpens today, lights out for TOR and MIN...
- Yeah, not sure why I bother with small plays early...
- Big equity today, and finally back in positive ter...
- Posting from Fenway
- 4/19LAA +130 / .6uOAK +110 / .7uCLE +220 / .3uTEX ...
- There a couple medium plays tomorrow - waiting on ...
- Broxton pitching 1.2 innings tonight, sigh. He'll ...
- Christ, blown late inning leads on every play toda...
- 4/18Again, arbing half on big units unless there a...
- Groan - Guerrero out indefinitely. Arbing the LAA ...
- 4/17LAA +110 / .2uMIL +125 / .5uWAS +115 / .3u
- If it weren't for the Giants, this would be ugly s...
- Nothing yet for tomorrow. Also, I'll break ROI int...
- Christ, already running bad. Simon (Bal SP, one of...
- Again, prob arbing some of this:4/15All GreekCHN -...
- Whoops, overthought the Zona game, -131/+123 now. ...
- TEX -125 (Greek early) and -128 (BJ now) / 3.5u (o...
- Groan Yankees, 8th inning two out no on, 1 out fr...
- 4/12NYA -133 / .7uNYN -119 / .3uTo give a better s...
- Model done
- Still on course to be done on Friday, have some cl...
- Back
- On vacation on remote island, probably no more cbb...
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April
(50)
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