Monday, March 23, 2009

March Madness Week to Date

So I spent some time earlier talking about how donkarific some of the openers are for the first weekend of March Madness. Capping results:

Spreads: 6-5 (eWin%: 55.4%)
Totals: 3-3 (eWin%: 55.6%)

Running a half-win below expectation unfortunately, but March didn't get any sharper this year. Sweet Sixteen and beyond will probably be more difficult.

And below is the YTD, rolling 100 plays to smooth out the variance. Mostly a whole lot of run good, but some of that is CBB being inefficient at the start of the year. Lately, a whole lot of run bad, but equity has actually picked up a little from midway through.

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