Sunday, March 1, 2009

2-0 sides, both beat close, Buffalo by more than a point.
3-4 totals, crushed close again (54.8% expected vs. close), but had a losing day yet again. This side of variance is not so fun. I'll do the weekly update in a bit, this should be fun/depressing.

Last Week (Record / Win% / eWin%):
All bets:  28-39-3 / 41.8% / 52.5%
Early system spreads:  2-8-1 / 20.0% / 51.4% (now defunct)
Late system spreads:  9-6-0 / 60.0% / 51.4%
Totals:  17-25-2 / 40.5% / 54.2%

Totals are pretty gross. 60% hit rate on totals days were probably over sometime in January. Mid 50%s should still be sustainable just on closing line value.

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