Guess how you would have done betting those 2H line that helped the big game bets. Yep, 1-4 again. This is nuts, I'm approaching lottery ticket territory with the 2H screwage over the past could hundred bets. If it goes on any longer I'm just auto-hedging everything at the half on the assumption I've stumbled ass backwards into some miraculous method of predicting 2H losers at a high 50's% rate with a full-game handicapping system. Part of me isn't 100% joking either, I mean, we're getting out there with the standard deviations on the null hypothesis that these 2Hs are coinflips.
Anyway, equity was great again. All three sides had 1.5 points of equity (each is ~56% to win) the two totals had about 1 and 3.5 points equity, but of course <.500 once more. Nothing in late game went right again, each side blew a late lead, and two teams allow offensive rebounds with seconds remaining on FTs that prevent them from even trying to send it to OT. Std.
The much smaller late bets did well, 4-1, but I didn't have enough on them. I'm a little surprised at the equity I got betting that late - which I guess makes sense for lines that don't even come out until morning. I'll probably continue adding normal sized bets (mostly totals likely) in the mid-morning going forward even if I'm late to open by a couple hours. I probably won't get the best number, but I don't think being an hour late or so is akin to dart throwing anymore, after having looked back through all the movement over the last couple days for the late lines.
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