Same issue - hedging, tempo below expected.
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Results
CBB 10-11 (flat bets)
Missed 1H. Totals market died.
Spreads 62-49-4, 55.9%
Totals 4-6-0, 40.0%
CBB 09-10 (flat bets)
Spreads 120-88-5, 57.7%
Totals 143-105-4, 57.7%
CBB 08-09 (flat bets)
Spreads 192-154-7, 55.5%
Totals 212-153-6, 58.1%
WNBA 09 (flat bets)
21-7-0, ROI: 43.2%
MLB 10 (MLs)
11-10, ROI: 5.7%
MLB 09 (MLs)
55-59, ROI: 5.8%
Missed 1H. Totals market died.
Spreads 62-49-4, 55.9%
Totals 4-6-0, 40.0%
CBB 09-10 (flat bets)
Spreads 120-88-5, 57.7%
Totals 143-105-4, 57.7%
CBB 08-09 (flat bets)
Spreads 192-154-7, 55.5%
Totals 212-153-6, 58.1%
WNBA 09 (flat bets)
21-7-0, ROI: 43.2%
MLB 10 (MLs)
11-10, ROI: 5.7%
MLB 09 (MLs)
55-59, ROI: 5.8%
About Me
- Keith
- Chicago, IL, United States
- I am a finance suit applying his nerd tendencies to statistical sports handicapping.
Blog Archive
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2009
(573)
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January
(153)
- on vacation no plays Sunday
- 2-2 todayMarginal plays aren't beating close, so n...
- More 2H: Rider u76WTF is it with Friday night and ...
- 1/31 totalsHofstra o133Wake u148.5Memphis u143.5Ba...
- 1/31Wake -7Kansas St. +11.5 - you might get better...
- Downswing time. 2-4 sides, 1-3 totals.Beat close o...
- Ugh today looks crappy, first three sides looked g...
- Ohio -3.5Passing on the over again considering the...
- Wow, the market moving with NC Greensboro? This is...
- Three cancels today, weather issues I guess.1-1 to...
- 1/29 totalsMichigan St. o122.5Troy o160Portland u1...
- 1/29New Mexico St. -5Portland -2.5Long Beach St. -...
- Due for a Downswing?
- 1-1 today
- 1/28 totalsCuse o154.5Northern Iowa o131.5Ohio o130.5
- 1/28Hofstra -7Ohio -4Missouri St. +7UConn -12.5Bal...
- Market Odds Bracket
- Saved by some pretty ridiculous 3pt shooting and v...
- Odds are you never got a good enough number to bet...
- 1/27Buffalo +1Totals:Peay o144.5
- Lunardi Bracketology / Kenpom - Bracket Beta 3
- Record Update 1/25
- 1-1-1 today, got lucky with Rhode Island OT. Minny...
- Updated for Hawaii:Our luckbox was strong today. B...
- Tomorrow is a little dry, I missed the best opener...
- Might not be around for Sunday's open. I'll also s...
- 1/24Missouri -17Butler -12.5 (and -13, marginal, G...
- Assuming Portland under loses...3-2 sides, 7-5 tot...
- Purdue 4/1 to win Big10 (bodog)If you'd like to fl...
- No sides tomorrowNo totals either. Youngstown St. ...
- 1-2 sides, 1-3 totals today. Two sides beat close ...
- Yikes, today is going to be a loooooong day. Most ...
- 1/22Utah St. -3 <--2uChattanooga -4.5Wisconsin Mil...
- Record Update 1/21
- Tulane u121.5Fair would have been more last year. ...
- Update: This is now exactly fair value after their...
- 1-0 spreads, 2-0 totals today, everything beat close
- JMU o133.5Charlotte o143Missouri o154 <--- this ha...
- 1/21Wake -13Buffalo -2.5Clemson +15 (this pains me...
- Gonzaga 75-1 at Bodog. They're a top 15 team, prob...
- IMPORTANTUSF 2nd leading scorer is "questionable" ...
- 1-0 todayI was waffling between yes/no on -14, and...
- UAB 2H -1No real statistical support for it other ...
- 1/20 totalsIllinois u126 (have some 124 too, moved...
- 1/20Northern Illinois -4.5 (marginal)
- 1/20Two or three marginal plays, I'll risk holding...
- Bracket Beta 2
- Record Update 1/18
- Nothing tomorrow. The one total I wanted already m...
- 2-0 sides, 1-1 totals today
- 9-7-1 game sides, 5-5 game totals, 3-1 halftimesSi...
- 1/18Xavier -12.5Rhode Island -20Totals:Xavier o137...
- Halftime plays placeholder:ND 2H pk is tempting, o...
- Done updating tomorrow's games for now.1-0 today, ...
- Back for half an hour, trying to bang these out.1/...
- No sides until pretty late tonight.
- Record Update 1/16
- 12-7 tonight, 6-4 sides, 6-3 totalsSides stunk aga...
- 1/16No sides.Brown o131 (marginal)
- Nothing to add. Definitely not waiting on Greek ag...
- 8-3 game sides, 3-2 totals, 1-0 halftime plays. Be...
- I guess totals at night is going to be the norm no...
- Brackets 2
- Well Illinois isn't showing any advantage over Mic...
- Hooray for no Duke arb indecisiveness. Wade is in ...
- Well, beat Duke side close by 1.5 pts, and got cru...
- 1/15Butler -7South Alabama -12Idaho +8.5Boise St. ...
- Bracket Beta
- Great... SDSU line just got whacked down, new info...
- Baylor -1 (MB)
- Totals are out for tomorrow.Duke u145.5Dayton o122...
- more 1/13Michigan St. -4St. Joseph's -3.5So Miss -...
- 0-1 sides, 1-1 totals tonight. No more late margin...
- Tomorrow:Duke -10.5SDSU -6.5Wake -2.5Illinois -6.5...
- These are both marginal and only tip the scales be...
- No totals for now, check back around 5, I need to ...
- There's only a couple marginal totals, and I want ...
- Futures soon
- 2-0 sides, 0-2 totals. The game sides beat close b...
- Tomorrow is dry as a bone. Only one play, it's inj...
- Samford u136The Citadel u141.5 (marginal)
- 1-1 game spreads, 3-0 game totals, 0-4-1 halftime ...
- 1/12Davidson -10.5Oklahoma -3.5That's it.
- lol ship the 0-4-1 halftime playsI'm done with the...
- Halftime plays:Iona u72 2H, had writeup but lost i...
- Hummel and Kramer probable, no Wisconsin +6.
- Adding totals now:Temple o137 (marginal, worst)Mar...
- more 1/11Wisconsin +6 if Hummel is out. You might ...
- Record Update 1/11
- Night game halftimes:Sigh, more crushing close, th...
- Back early to watch NFL1/11Santa Clara -1Later gam...
- Going to be gone maybe the rest of the night. Agai...
- Wow, ran good on FTs finally and covered Buffalo.....
- Late game totals:SE Missouri St. o145that's itafte...
- Bleh KU 2H is toast because they're both already i...
- KU 2H u74.5
- Back. Bleh the WV middle looks unlikely now, hoora...
- Good news: Crushed West Virginia +3.5Good news: Up...
- Meh got to these totals late, fairly slim value.No...
- 1/10 (adding one by one):West Virgnia +3.5 (light,...
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January
(153)
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