Also, I'm just adding spread and totals to my last post to keep new post spam down.
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Yikes, today is going to be a loooooong day. Most of it beat close or at least stayed flat. Unders shooting lights out, overs not so much. Wake on the verge of losing a game they should win 80-90% of the time - right after I bet them to win ACC obv. I'm also watching most of my marginal plays that I never took cover handily right now, and the number of big edge plays are drying up, so expect much higher volume and a little less beating of close. I'll note what's marginal. When I get enough plays I'll break out marginal from non-marginal results.
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Insane how you can destroy the close on totals yet some never come close to covering...
ReplyDeleteEach point is worth ~2%, less at higher ranges. So, beating a total by three constantly is 56%-ish, which is printing money long term, but it's real easy to get three coins to flip tails in a row at those odds.
ReplyDeleteYes but you beat two totals today by 6+ points, if I'm not mistaken. And you've been doing it all season so far. I'm not sure about you but it would pain me greatly to kill a line like that and still lose.
ReplyDeleteAlthough I of course understand even a 60% play will lose 4 out of 10 times... Keep up the great work appreciate all you do.
Eh it happens, I've unquestionably been running very well on those. I'm at 62% and it really shouldn't be much higher than mid 50's.
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