Saturday, January 3, 2009

Georgetown

GT's loss to Pitt at home was a fairly crushing blow to my futures. That's their only meeting, and Pitt owns the tiebreaker. GT's defeat of UConn also further paved Pitt's way. GT is now about 20% to win the conference, Pitt somewhere around 40%, given implied market odds by setting efficiency stats to derive recent game lines. I hedged half my GT futures on a Pitt moneyline, so I now have 10/1 essentially. There won't be another game soon that shifts the odds 10%+, so I'll probably just ride it unless there's a convenient last game or two for the title.

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