Friday, January 2, 2009

2-4 today.

After Arizona St.'s win at Stanford, implied market odds of winning the Pac-10 are roughly 35% through a few thousand simulations. True odds are closer to 45-50% using modeled lines from the current year, where Arizona St. has actually been better than UCLA. Bodog has 7/2 (need to win 22% of time). We've mashed it, but they often don't get around to moving the lines for a while.

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