3/10 Update: Latest Lunardi bracket odds using KenPom on the right.
UPDATE: Bracket updated. Lunardi put a new one up today. I'm going to put up another one using these guys, who had a lot of success last year predicting brackets. Fixed some large MLs that were off by about 1% too.
There have been some notable outcomes this week, so I'm posting a midweek update with Kenpom's stats updated through yesterday's games. Again, for the unfamiliar, this is Lunardi's most recent projected bracket, and game lines strictly using KenPom's prediction formulas. I don't use his odds to win derived from pythag/log5 - I take his spread formula and make ML conversions. I think there's more of a market disconnect with the pythag approach. I promise I will have a market odds version of the bracket up by the end of the weekend, I'm just about done buying up the futures I want at this point.
The 4 in the blue bar would be read as 'odds to make the final four'. And obviously the 2 is 'the odds to make the championship game'.
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