Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Experimental plays

I've got a new system with an extreme recency bias that works on differences between OOC play and conference play. I'm still hammering down confidence intervals and all that jazz, so I'm betting these selectively and very very lightly. I'll track them separately in the record, but will probably just end up dropping it all together. There are already far too many plays. I hope you like unders, it's by design.

Spreads:
Indiana +3.5
UMASS -4
Tulsa -1
Northeastern -8
UCF -2.5
La Salle +1
VCU -16
Utah -3.5
LSU -6.5
Cincy +3
Nova -1.5
Creighton -1.5
Southern Illinois +1
Minnesota +8.5
Duke -4

Totals:
Nova o148
Indiana St. u119
Tulsa u134
Miami OH u114.5
William & Mary u113.5
Bowling Green u123
Dayton u132
NC Wilmington u153
Georgia u135
Tennessee u157
Delaware u128.5
Mississippi u143.5
Oklahoma St. u166 (fading main system)
Duke u146 (with main system)
Memphis u128
Colorado u121
Murray St. u136

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