5/7
LAA -154 / 1.2u <-corrected, wrong catchersjust changed to -160, adjust Kelly by win probablity accordingly
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Results
CBB 10-11 (flat bets)
Missed 1H. Totals market died.
Spreads 62-49-4, 55.9%
Totals 4-6-0, 40.0%
CBB 09-10 (flat bets)
Spreads 120-88-5, 57.7%
Totals 143-105-4, 57.7%
CBB 08-09 (flat bets)
Spreads 192-154-7, 55.5%
Totals 212-153-6, 58.1%
WNBA 09 (flat bets)
21-7-0, ROI: 43.2%
MLB 10 (MLs)
11-10, ROI: 5.7%
MLB 09 (MLs)
55-59, ROI: 5.8%
Missed 1H. Totals market died.
Spreads 62-49-4, 55.9%
Totals 4-6-0, 40.0%
CBB 09-10 (flat bets)
Spreads 120-88-5, 57.7%
Totals 143-105-4, 57.7%
CBB 08-09 (flat bets)
Spreads 192-154-7, 55.5%
Totals 212-153-6, 58.1%
WNBA 09 (flat bets)
21-7-0, ROI: 43.2%
MLB 10 (MLs)
11-10, ROI: 5.7%
MLB 09 (MLs)
55-59, ROI: 5.8%
About Me
- Keith
- Chicago, IL, United States
- I am a finance suit applying his nerd tendencies to statistical sports handicapping.
Blog Archive
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2009
(573)
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May
(68)
- CHN -140 / 1.1uPlz to not be getting shutdown by E...
- SLN -130 / 1.7u
- BAL +103 / .4u (game)TBA -150 / .5u (game)have the...
- I heart the Milwaukee bullpen.weird fact, MIL 2nd ...
- MIL lineup perfect, CIN missing Phillips. I'm conf...
- SFN -115 / .5uATL -120 / .5uall following are game...
- Great, would have been a push on 5 inning. Just ta...
- Hmm wonder what's going on with the MIL line. It w...
- add to 5/29LAA -161 / 3.4u (more arbz)
- 5/29MIL +100 / 3.1u (full game)Arb attempt obv, st...
- Sonnanstine now on my DO NOT WANT list headed up b...
- SDN -158 / .8u (reduced, lineup mismatch in model)
- TBA +102 / .5uTEX +125 / .3u
- lol... since 5 innings only plays there have been ...
- SEA -120 / .6u
- ARI -160 / .7u (AG out)SFN - 166 / .8u
- CHN -146 .7uKCA -153 .8u
- KCA +127 / .5u
- OAK -137 / .3u
- HOU +106 / .3u
- ATL -132 / .6u
- Arb CLE -105 / 1.4u for game at +126 (21c profit)A...
- MB 5 inning volume actually isn't that bad on some...
- lol... Paplebon just gave up a 2 run HR to a scrub...
- Ship the tilt embracing of full kelly. BOS wins 2-...
- Hilarious how bad I run at this shit. Blown multi-...
- PHI +161 / 1.1uHOU +104 / 1.3u (Kinsler/Young out)
- 5/24CLE -105 / 1.4uFLO -105 / .9u
- Nothing tomorrow at first glance. Of course todays...
- WTF lineups. Molina out for LaRue. Ryan and Stavin...
- COL +137 / .5u
- Arbing down SEA... 6c of equity off MB (-116 right...
- 5/22SLN -125 / 3.6uOver-bet, prob arbing. I think ...
- 5/21SEA -110 / 1.8uanother wtf line, imo, slight o...
- LOL this is really getting comical, I can't lose a...
- Ah Votto out - price is fair right now, no arbing.
- Nothing big for Wednesday
- PHI +100 is <3 <3 <3, but I think it may have boom...
- rapid course correction imo, 3 in losses in a row,...
- Beat me senseless if I ever bet WAS anything other...
- 5/19PHI +100 / 1.3uPhils line is perplexing. Cueto...
- Back to normalcy. Winning streak stopped with a co...
- Bos -132 .4u
- sln .3u / -1
- Micro plays for 5/16:MIL -105 / .5uthat's all
- Obv Chris Young on the road is an odds don't matte...
- I Run Like God
- Groan. Chris Young on the road opened fairly (imo)...
- Meh Pinny out, and not giving a better price than ...
- One smallish play for 5/12, waiting on BJ for it. ...
- Nothing tomorrow - only four games.
- No big openers tomorrow, maybe something small whe...
- Ok NOW I'm using up some of that late game karma, ...
- Yay run good, 5 in a row, about 6% ROI with all be...
- The instant value of Manny apparently:Kind of inte...
- 5/8MIL -110 / 1.9u
- 5/7LAA -154 / 1.2u <-corrected, wrong catchersjust...
- Yay on finally (Jays game) luckboxing huge inning ...
- 5/6Took SLN -130 on Greek, .6u, doubt it moves muc...
- SFN -111 / 1.9uCubs lineup is a total joke todayNo...
- Groan, hey Cleveland sit a starter or two. At leas...
- 5/5TOR -110 / 1.8u (go Cecil)
- Chris Young on the Road - My First Stand
- So obv Loretta can't pull a Lopez. Now Mota is in ...
- I run like ass
- LAN -160 / 3.1u
- Should be back to betting openers tomorrow, been b...
- Just got home - see SEA and OAK tied in bottom of ...
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May
(68)
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