Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Kenpom March Madness Bracket 2010

Most March props are out, still some stuff trickling in today. I'll release my own semi rough market bracket sometime tomorrow or the next day most likely. There is still plenty of error in that one, but it's much more representative of market lines than Kenpom.

So, the bracket below uses Kenpom efficiency formulas to arrive at game spreads, which are coverted to MLs (crudely), which are converted to %'s to win. Odds to win it all and odds to make it to the FF are provided over on the right. I stopped displaying odds past a certain threshold just cuz. You could also do this bracket with his pythag #'s and log5, but IIRC it was producing even stranger #'s for certain odds ranges.

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2 comments:

  1. Zachary S.March 16, 2010 at 2:30 PM

    Have you made any future bets yet? If yes, are you going to post them?

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  2. KeithMarch 17, 2010 at 7:51 AM

    Only traditional long future I have is Duke 15-1. This year's futures have been very disappointly sharp. Found some value in the matchup/last longers and a few other random props, but those sharpen up pretty quick.

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