Thursday, December 31, 2009
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Monday, December 28, 2009
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Monday, December 21, 2009
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Friday, December 18, 2009
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Looks like Kenpom is forecasting lines again.
Imma start putting out lol March Madness brackets for funzies using his ratings. Probably does more harm than good but seems like people enjoy it.
Also for the sake of karma I should acknowledge I am running white-hot in 2H's this year after the inital whining of 2H run bad continuation from the tail end of last year. Record would be much worse if every bet was 1H.
Imma start putting out lol March Madness brackets for funzies using his ratings. Probably does more harm than good but seems like people enjoy it.
Also for the sake of karma I should acknowledge I am running white-hot in 2H's this year after the inital whining of 2H run bad continuation from the tail end of last year. Record would be much worse if every bet was 1H.
Monday, December 14, 2009
Sunday, December 13, 2009
Saturday, December 12, 2009
Friday, December 11, 2009
Thursday, December 10, 2009
Wafflemegacrushed a few of those totals yesterday. <3 early CBB season. It's probably fine to take a game 2-3 pts off whatever I post for now, as long as lines are going to move 6-8 pts fairly frequently. For BM releases (not late adds with several books offering) we'll move those lines anyway, so it'll take a disagreeing syndicate to get back to that line. And they probably know more than I do anyway. So I dunno.
Took Colorado -2 before crashing, -2.5 still a 53%-54% play imo. It's not massive value. Was considering Montana at pk, maybe if it hits +2. Hard to tell since Loyola is so different this year.
Took Colorado -2 before crashing, -2.5 still a 53%-54% play imo. It's not massive value. Was considering Montana at pk, maybe if it hits +2. Hard to tell since Loyola is so different this year.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
KenPom Calculator
KenPom calculator now over to the right.
Got a couple emails asking me if I knew when Kenpom was going to start showing forecasted spreads/totals for 2010.
1) I don't know.
2) Plz to not be betting them blindly if you <3 bankroll.
3) I created a little Google doc that gives you those lines.
I'm not 100% it's what he would calculate, but I think it's pretty close. The biggest thing I am unsure of is his home advantage, which he once said meant increasing home efficiencies by 1.4% and decreasing road efficiencies by 1.4%.
To use it, you have to spell the name as it appears on KenPom's sheet precisely. not "Mississippi State", but "Mississippi St.". Otherwise the vlookups return errors. You should only need to input the team names to get lines, nothing else. I'll just update it daily with his efficiency sheet and season averages.
Got a couple emails asking me if I knew when Kenpom was going to start showing forecasted spreads/totals for 2010.
1) I don't know.
2) Plz to not be betting them blindly if you <3 bankroll.
3) I created a little Google doc that gives you those lines.
I'm not 100% it's what he would calculate, but I think it's pretty close. The biggest thing I am unsure of is his home advantage, which he once said meant increasing home efficiencies by 1.4% and decreasing road efficiencies by 1.4%.
To use it, you have to spell the name as it appears on KenPom's sheet precisely. not "Mississippi State", but "Mississippi St.". Otherwise the vlookups return errors. You should only need to input the team names to get lines, nothing else. I'll just update it daily with his efficiency sheet and season averages.
Monday, December 7, 2009
Sunday, December 6, 2009
Saturday, December 5, 2009
Friday, December 4, 2009
Thursday, December 3, 2009
Ships the movement today.
Looks like BM is doing the regular release schedule finally, so I should generally be around for openers if my jubz doesn't get in the way. Can't promise lines will be fresh as horrible totals are rocketing down after a couple minutes now and a whole lot of hitting needs to get done first.
Looks like BM is doing the regular release schedule finally, so I should generally be around for openers if my jubz doesn't get in the way. Can't promise lines will be fresh as horrible totals are rocketing down after a couple minutes now and a whole lot of hitting needs to get done first.
Wednesday, December 2, 2009
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
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