If it weren't for the Giants, this would be ugly so far. I can't really hope to keep up the 4% eROI too (4% is roughly beating Pinny vig-free line by 10-15c every game), so it'd be nice to run good while I still have the confidence to bet large edges.

CLE +180 is the only thing I'd bet now - but I read somewhere that Lee's fastball is off and he's using it less, so I don't have a ton of confidence in the projections for him.