Also FYI, if you got the bet, I'm hedging some of the Buffalo/Kent St. Game. That $300 to win $3600 is currently worth ~$925. Just betting enough to win $300 and recoup losses. If you lose you get most of the equity back in the implied worth of the Kent St. position. Either team will be big favorites (~8) against Ball St., then the final game will be another near coinflip against Miami OH or Akron in all probability. In that scenario it's worth more around $750-$800, but there's value in the chance Miami OH/Akron loses to Bowling Green or Ohio (inferior by several points).
I have a slightly +EV Miami OH position, so I'm not doing the same with Akron, which has less equity in it anyway (the $300 is worth ~$550).
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