Baseball is a lot like CBB, or just about any sport. Openers for the first month or two of the season can be way off. It took books weeks to adjust to consistent early Rays betting last year, although they're probably an extreme example. If you bet it, start early, imo.
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Hi, I got linked to your blog through my friend Ben(ProfessorBen on 2p2) and I appriciate your work. I'm not a great handicapper by any means, but a group of us have a NBA program we use and I try to turn a small profit on the side in addition to poker. I like following your blog just to learn as much as I can about sports betting, and I'll occassionally follow some of your picks.
ReplyDeleteAnyway, the reason I'm writing is that I was wondering if you had any thoughts on MLB season win totals. Thanks.
-Assani Fisher
I haven't done any work simulating the season, and I'd be reinventing the wheel with that because of some recent work by crockpot. He's done a very good series of posts which factor performance uncertainty into the projections, which you typically won't find elsewhere.
ReplyDeletehttp://playoffodds.blogspot.com/