Found it. Here's Lunardi's March Madness Bracketology with Kenpom odds. It's his ratings, his point spread formulas, my win % conversions. No HCA factored in anywhere. I replaced the play in game with Liberty, just because I can and it blows up my matrix if I don't have a team in there.
Obvious caveats:
1) Underdog final win odds are understated. A 10 seed rolling to the final four is going to have much better ratings after winning all those games to get there. A 1 seed will usually be favored, and can roll through most of the tournament without exceeding expectations.
2) Kenpom drools over a few teams which creates lines significantly off-market by several points (ex: Duke, Kansas, Texas).
3) Im not displaying odds for teams that are 1000/1 and up. Those 0%'s do have decimals behind them, I'm not just plugging in a 0 and moving on.
Enjoy:
March Madness Lunardi Bracketology & Kenpom Odds
I'll keep it at the top and update it after each weekend. Come tourny time, when we have the actual teams n stuff, I'll create a market bracket.
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nice thanks
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