FIU u139
Cal o147

Nevada -2

Depaul +14
Ark -1.5

Cuse o158

OSU +4.5

Dayton u137

Ball St. u130
Miami OH u128
Cal o146.5
Presbyterian u135.5
San Fran u135

BYU -14.5
Eastern Illinois -4.5
Winthrop +8
Elon -2.5
Kent St. -8.5

Ark St. +7
Ark Little Rock +13
Wisconsin +1
USC +9
St. Mary's -7
Citadel pk
Sac St. +12.5

Dayton u139.5
Pitt u132.5
Sac St. u131
Austin Peay o151.5

Work -> violently ill -> work

will check for plays today

updated lunardi/kenpom bracket

SWONGS. 24-6-1 since rage-quitting a couple Saturdays ago and ditching most of last season/early season data in the model. Cue 5-19 stretch soon I guess.

Finally getting some downtime to catch up on record keeping. I'll do eWin% when I'm not firewalled. Record/eROI is current though. Sides kind of recovering, totals went apeshit.

11-1-1 I think over past few days, I only run in extreme swongs.

from overnights:

Siena o147

Found it. Here's Lunardi's March Madness Bracketology with Kenpom odds. It's his ratings, his point spread formulas, my win % conversions. No HCA factored in anywhere. I replaced the play in game with Liberty, just because I can and it blows up my matrix if I don't have a team in there.

Obvious caveats:
1) Underdog final win odds are understated. A 10 seed rolling to the final four is going to have much better ratings after winning all those games to get there. A 1 seed will usually be favored, and can roll through most of the tournament without exceeding expectations.
2) Kenpom drools over a few teams which creates lines significantly off-market by several points (ex: Duke, Kansas, Texas).
3) Im not displaying odds for teams that are 1000/1 and up. Those 0%'s do have decimals behind them, I'm not just plugging in a 0 and moving on.

Enjoy:
March Madness Lunardi Bracketology & Kenpom Odds

I'll keep it at the top and update it after each weekend. Come tourny time, when we have the actual teams n stuff, I'll create a market bracket.

Going to be hit and miss for a week or so. From last night:

Michigan +9
App St. -2

LA Monroe u140
Cal o157

Going to throw up the kenpom bracket odds stuff if I can find that old file. Writing up all those h-lookups and v-lookups is kind of a bitch.

md -6.5

overnights

Kansas St. -4 bought from leaning -4.5
Colorado St. -5.5
Marquette -2.5

TCU u119.5
Cleveland St. u132
Creighton o140.5
San Jose St. o157.5
Idaho u146
Nevada u147

port st. -3 was only play

Again from last night

W Mich u129
San Jose St. o152.5
CoC o151.5

Kent St. -3.5
Arizona +9

From last night, pwned on xavier, most totals still near the line

Temple u124
Depaul u126.5
Charlotte u146
Northern Iowa u118

VCU -9.5
Xavier -8.5
Akron -12.5

Traveling recently...

From last night, kind of stale:

kent st. -12.5
kent st. o140
iona u128