Thursday, February 26, 2009

Changing up Sides

Today's sides are both running bad and not showing much equity, continuing the recent trend.  I just finished backtesting a recency strategy against the last two years, and it did well. So I'll probably be switching the sides method to a heavily recency-biased system, which means more plays and probably half-units.

Totals are still clearly where the major value exists, usually very good equity each day.

1-4-1 sides, meh equity (but could not have run worse in the final minute of these games, just a little dumb shooting variance from being 4-2)
4-2-1 totals, good equity

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